+150 Runs Scoreboard

DELTA, Free Agent Dept. The 2005 Mariners were -52 runs below .500 (699 for, 751 agin'.) As always, +100 runs above .500 would be plenty to have you in the fight for the World Series. The Yankees were +97 runs, Boston +103, Chicago +97, LA was +115, Oakland +109. Here y'go, amig-O. +40 Felix +30 Washburn (assumes 4.25 ERA) +30 Johjima (assumes lukewarm year) +00 Everett (assumes league-average bat) The M's have added +100 runs so far to their 2005 team. On paper. . DELTA, Returning Player Dept. Check the other possible ways the M's might pick up a run or ten, beyond the Big Five: +20 Everett if he has a healthy, up, park-aided year +10 Adrian Beltre if he returns to a +26 VORP player (was +16 in 2005; was+70 in 2004) +10 Adrian Beltre if he returns to a +36 VORP player +10 Adrian Beltre if he returns to a +46 VORP player +10 Jose Lopez if he is a mediocre +15 VORP player like the '05 Beltre (Boone +5 VORP this year) +10 Jose Lopez if he is a +25 VORP player (Robinson Cano +28 at .296/.316/.457) +10 Yuniesky Betancourt if he hits for +10 VORP ... vs the 0.0 VORP of Valdez-Bloomquist-Betancourt +10 Yuniesky Betancourt if he hits for +20 VORP +10 Jeremy Reed if he posts a measly +15.7 VORP +10 Jeremy Reed if he has a Randy Winn year +25 VORP +20 Jo-El Pineiro if he has as good a year as Jamie Moyer 2005 (vs. the 13 VORP assumed above) +10-30 Marcos Carvajal /Clint Nageotte/Jesse Foppert if the M's get a pitching surprise +10 George Sherrill over, say, Matt Thornton +10 Mike Morse and the rest of the bench, compared to 2004's bench If the Mariners did ALL of the above, they would gain +270 runs and win about 110 games. The above are possibilities for improvement. The M's need 1/3 or 1/2 of them to happen -- net -- in order to be one of the best teams in the league. . 2005 RUNS OVER AAA LEVEL +45 Ichiro + 5 Reed +40 Ibanez +56 Sexson +15 Beltre +15 Winn (later -1 Dobbs and +12 Morse) + 4 Boone (later +1 Lopez; negative first trip, positive second trip) -13 Olivo (later -7 Borders and +0 Torrealba) -08 Valdez (later +3 Betancourt) +30 Moyer +13 Franklin + 4 Jo-El + 0 Meche - 1 Sele (2/3 season), later +29 Felix (1/3 season)